Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.187688 0.217933 0.251535 0.291646 0.338242 0.390694 0.454259
2025-04-27 0.143087 0.184151 0.234676 0.301470 0.387572 0.494997 0.639501
2025-05-04 0.119294 0.164766 0.224778 0.309896 0.427783 0.585709 0.814087
2025-05-11 0.101286 0.148163 0.213659 0.312041 0.456521 0.661656 0.976422
2025-05-18 0.086580 0.133083 0.201333 0.309063 0.475502 0.724021 1.125493
2025-05-25 0.073599 0.118227 0.186657 0.299553 0.482048 0.767076 1.249221
2025-06-01 0.066896 0.111894 0.183724 0.307145 0.515135 0.853723 1.451316
2025-06-08 0.060055 0.104265 0.177501 0.308147 0.536945 0.923945 1.634363
2025-06-15 0.055072 0.099008 0.174356 0.313580 0.566357 1.009558 1.853762
2025-06-22 0.048894 0.090810 0.165059 0.306837 0.573083 1.055871 2.007883
2025-06-29 0.044170 0.084610 0.158482 0.304017 0.586232 1.114631 2.191538
2025-07-06 0.040651 0.080202 0.154605 0.305634 0.607643 1.190712 2.417243
2025-07-13 0.038874 0.079024 0.156836 0.319648 0.655529 1.324508 2.777760
2025-07-20 0.036861 0.077141 0.157498 0.330669 0.698935 1.455013 3.149828
2025-07-27 0.034854 0.075003 0.157353 0.339916 0.739648 1.584619 3.536753
2025-08-03 0.032397 0.071600 0.154174 0.342272 0.765799 1.686465 3.876039
2025-08-10 0.029715 0.067375 0.148747 0.339001 0.779054 1.761728 4.164900
2025-08-17 0.026754 0.062168 0.140580 0.328559 0.774714 1.797098 4.365379
2025-08-24 0.025499 0.060710 0.140587 0.336895 0.814914 1.938815 4.838479
2025-08-31 0.023844 0.058114 0.137691 0.337996 0.837942 2.042858 5.232630
2025-09-07 0.022652 0.056484 0.136859 0.343962 0.873521 2.181127 5.731220
2025-09-14 0.020753 0.052893 0.130929 0.336557 0.874646 2.234508 6.016839
2025-09-21 0.019277 0.050195 0.126887 0.333460 0.886443 2.316181 6.388556